China's Military Might
The Chinese equivalent of Secretary of Defense, General Xu Caihou was here at CSIS this morning. His speech laid out a forward looking defense process the Chinese had just completed, the equivalent of our Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR).
Though most of the language was not new, I was struck by their goals to win wars in the “information era” and how they were planning to use their military for more non-traditional functions (counterterrorism, peacekeeping, etc.) These goals were said to provide the “minimum requirements” for Chinese security (about 1.4 percent of GDP) and allow them more financial flexibility in improving the conditions of the 40 million or so (out of 1.3 billion) living in poverty in that country.
In the United States we are often interested in relations with the “other” Chinas and their military stance towards us and the world. Taiwan, who completed their own QDR this year, and Tibet, were only briefly mentioned in terms of unifying groups inside its boundaries. Though the general declared that China “will never seek hegemony or an arms race;” the audience questions were focused primarily on the March naval confrontation, weapons, and the impact of new Chinese ventures into Middle Eastern energy.
The event's message was encouraging, but it remains to be seen how committed the Chinese are to these goals.







Seapower
Scott, since I was unable to attend the event, I am wondering if the General had anything to say about seapower. There have been reports of Chinese desires to build their own fleet of modern aircraft carriers in the next 5-10 years.This is a third aspect of a Chinese military build-up besides 'military might' and 'peace-keeping/counterterrorism efforts': projection of naval power. The United States' global influence's lynchpin has been our presence in every ocean in the world. He who controls the shipping lanes has the upper hand economically and is able to project influence. Perhaps the question is not whether China wants to take on the United States head to head (unlikely) or even overpower Taiwan with military might, but seek to establish itself as the controller of the Indian and Pacific Oceans, projecting Chinese economic and political influence all over the Far East (see: Japan's desire for the Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere in the 1930's, perhaps sans the colonialism.)
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